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Winning Gaussian Channel Strategy

Gaussian Channel Strategy: Automated Bitcoin Trading

The Gaussian Channel Strategy has emerged as a powerful tool for Bitcoin traders, boasting an impressive return of 1,895% since 2018, with a manageable drawdown of only 30%.

This lesson delves into the specifics of this strategy, emphasizing its importance in traditional finance and demonstrating its relevance in the cryptocurrency space. Understanding this approach can significantly enhance your trading skills, equipping you with the tools necessary to navigate the volatile world of Bitcoin and potentially reap substantial rewards.

Core Concepts

  1. Gaussian Channel:

    • Traditional Finance: A statistical method used to predict price movements by identifying ranges in financial data.
    • Crypto Context: Utilizes a mathematical model to create channels around Bitcoin’s price, signaling potential buy or sell opportunities. Grasping this concept enables you to make informed trades based on market patterns.
  2. Drawdown:

    • Traditional Finance: Refers to the reduction of a peak in the value of a portfolio to a trough. It measures risk.
    • Crypto Context: In the context of crypto trading, a 30% drawdown signifies the maximum observed loss during a sequence of trades. Recognizing drawdowns is essential for effective risk management in the volatile crypto markets.
  3. Profit Factor:

    • Traditional Finance: The ratio of gross profit to gross loss in a trading strategy.
    • Crypto Context: A profit factor of 3 implies that for every dollar lost, three dollars are gained through successful trades. This metric helps assess the effectiveness of your trading strategy.
  4. Trading Automation:

    • Traditional Finance: The use of algorithms and robotic systems to execute trades based on pre-set conditions.
    • Crypto Context: Automation via platforms like Signum eliminates manual trading errors and enhances speed and efficiency, particularly beneficial in a fast-paced market like crypto.
  5. Backtesting:

    • Traditional Finance: The process of testing a trading strategy on historical data to evaluate its effectiveness.
    • Crypto Context: Backtesting the Gaussian Channel Strategy allows you to see how it would have performed in previous market conditions, building your confidence in its future potential.

Understanding these concepts is vital for anyone starting their crypto journey. They equip you with insights into the operational mechanics of trading strategies, enhancing your decision-making and ultimately improving profitability.

Key Steps to Implement the Gaussian Channel Strategy

1. Setting Up the Gaussian Channel on TradingView

  • Create a TradingView Account: Essential for accessing the necessary charting tools.
  • Identify the Correct Chart: Utilize the Bitcoin USD index as it’s considered optimal for algorithmic trading.
  • Adding Indicators: Add the Gaussian Channel Strategy to your favorites. Reload TradingView to ensure access.

Explanation: The first step is crucial because the right chart provides accurate data for analysis. Once the indicator is added, you can begin analyzing trades based on its signals.

2. Configuring Trading Settings

  • Access Input Settings: Adjust the strategy to start reading from 2018 data.
  • Set Commission and Slippage: Ideally, a 0.1% commission and 3% slippage to reflect realistic trading conditions.

Explanation: Configuring settings accurately helps to tailor the strategy to your trading style and ensures that the backtesting reflects real-world conditions.

3. Understanding Trade Execution

  • Trade Trigger Points: Trades activate when Bitcoin price crosses the upper or lower lines of the channel.
  • Managing Fake Signals: Recognize that not every signal will result in profit, especially in sideways markets.

Explanation: Understanding execution mechanics is vital to managing expectations and refining your strategy under varying market conditions.

4. Automating Trades with Signum

  • Creating a Signum Account: Important to link your strategy with an exchange for executing trades.
  • Setting Up a Bot: After connecting your account, create a trading bot with clear parameters.

Explanation: Automation allows for flawless execution of your strategy, taking emotion out of the equation and facilitating consistent trading.

5. Calibrating Strategy for Different Timeframes

  • Daily versus Four-Hour Charts: The strategy is adaptable but may require different settings for different timeframes.
  • Performing Adjustments: Change settings based on your chosen timeframe to optimize performance.

Explanation: Calibrating your strategy for different charts helps mitigate risks and maximizes potential gains across your trading activities.

6. Monitoring and Adjusting for Success

  • Keep an Eye on Performance: Regularly check the stats to assess your strategy’s performance.
  • Adjust Alerts: Ensure that the alerts for trade signals remain active and are updated as necessary.

Explanation: Continuous monitoring allows you to respond swiftly to market changes and adjust your strategy accordingly.

Crypto Connection

  • Automation in Crypto vs. Traditional Trading: Crypto platforms typically offer more agile and accessible automation tools, beneficial for traders needing quick reactions to market changes.
  • Common Tools: Projects like Signum exemplify how crypto trading can be streamlined through automation, offering a robust approach to managing trades on volatile exchanges.

Real-World Applications

Consider the historical context of Bitcoin trading and how utilizing the Gaussian Channel Strategy could have yielded significant returns during market rallies. For example, post-2018’s price correction, traders employing this strategy would have effectively capitalized on the ensuing bull runs.

Cause and Effect Relationships

  • Market Trends Impact Profitability: Trends largely dictate the success or failure of trading strategies.
  • Impact of Emotional Trading: Emotional decision-making can skew performance negatively, especially in volatile environments like cryptocurrency trading.

Recognizing these patterns helps enhance your awareness of the crypto market dynamics, guiding your future trades.

Challenges and Solutions

  • Market Volatility: High volatility is common in crypto, and the strategy may sometimes yield false signals.
  • Risk Management Concerns: Understanding and implementing risk management practices is critical to protecting your investment.

By being aware of these challenges, you can prepare countermeasures, such as setting stop-loss orders or diversifying your portfolio, to minimize impacts.

Key Takeaways

  1. The Gaussian Channel Strategy has proven to be highly profitable.
  2. Backtesting is essential to validate the effectiveness of any trading strategy.
  3. Automation enhances trading efficacy, reducing human error.
  4. Monitoring performance is necessary for ongoing success.
  5. Adjusting parameters based on the market’s current state can maximize profitability short and long-term.

Embracing these insights will bolster your confidence and expertise in cryptocurrency trading, setting you on a path towards financial independence.

Discussion Questions and Scenarios

  1. How would adjusting the drawdown percentage affect your overall trading strategy?
  2. What challenges might arise from using automated trading versus manual trading?
  3. Compare the efficiency of the Gaussian Channel Strategy with traditional methods used in Forex trading.
  4. If you had to choose between the daily chart or the four-hour chart to trade, which would you choose and why?
  5. Reflect on a time you might have acted emotionally in trading; how could automation have changed that outcome?

Glossary

  • Gaussian Channel: A method of price analysis that establishes a range around asset prices.
  • Drawdown: The decline from a peak to a trough in the value of a trading account.
  • Profit Factor: A metric that indicates the ratio of profitable trades to unprofitable trades.
  • Automation: The use of technology to perform trading activities without human intervention.
  • Backtesting: The process of testing a trading strategy on historical data to evaluate its potential performance.

Understanding these terms will fortify your knowledge base to navigate both traditional finance and cryptocurrency’s complex landscapes successfully.

Continue to Next Lesson

You’ve taken a significant step towards mastering automated trading strategies. In the next lesson of the Crypto Is FIRE (CFIRE) training program, we’ll explore advanced risk management techniques that will further enhance your trading capabilities. Stay tuned!

 

Read Video Transcript
How to Automate the Profitable Gaussian Channel Strategy on Bitcoin (1d and 4h chart)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aXP-gsw7kxE
Transcript:
 That’s right, guys. In this video, I’m going to show you how to use and automate one of the best  freely available Bitcoin trading strategies in the universe. It’s called Gaussian Channel Strategy.  And on the daily Bitcoin chart, it made a net profit of 1,895% since 2018,  with a max drawdown of 30% and the profit factor of 3.
2 now guys did you make more profit on bitcoin since 2018 because  if not you should consider using this strategy and i have developed it myself i put it out there on  the internet to help you guys to not get wrecked one more time in the next bear market but also to  make money on the way up right in the bull market which is right now in my opinion so in this video  i’m going to show you how to use it, how to automate it, how the settings work, all of that and the reason I’m  doing this is because this strategy blew up quite literally when I made this video here to show
 people bad strategies and also bad settings for strategies. It totally blew up and in that video  I mentioned that I have this freely available strategy if people come to the Telegram and they  create a Signum account they get this strategy fully for free now a lot of questions came in  how to use it how to automate it and everything well for me it’s easy but for you it’s maybe not  so this video will now explain how to put it on the chart how to automate the whole thing and how  to make it work for yourself we’re going to use it on the one day chart on Bitcoin but I’m also
 going to show you how to use it on the four hour chart so that you can get signals faster. It’s also profitable  there, but you need to know which settings to use. So in this video, I’m going to show you all of  that. And if you want access to this trading strategy, then I will show you at the end of  the video. And the reason for that is because first you need to know how it works and everything.
 And then if you like it, you should get access,  right? So make sure to watch the whole video and keep in mind, this video is not financial advice. You can lose all of your money in crypto because it’s quite risky. But that’s why, guys, you  subscribe to this freaking channel and you watch my knowledge playlist, because my knowledge  playlist is hands down life changing for any retail crypto retail crypto investor okay so make sure to check it out  subscribe like this video if it helps you and with all of that in mind get your coffee and let’s go
 guys okay guys first of all i have a bitcoin chart on the one day and i’m on the bitcoin usd index  chart guys that’s the best chart for bitcoin in my opinion and especially for algo trading long story why just use that now in order to get the strategy on your chart you need to put this  one on your favorites okay click on add to favorites you’re not going to have access  immediately if you don’t have it yet because like i said i will tell you how to do that at the end  of the video but once you have it in your indicators, you can then click on it. Where is it? Here. Click on it once and it will appear on your chart.
 Okay.  And it might be locked until I give you access.  And after I gave you access, you need to reload TradingView because it’s not smart enough to  understand that you now have access.  And once you have reloaded it, you will see it the same way that I have it now on my chart.  The next thing you need to do, because I don’t really like all of this information on the chart go to the settings click on this cog and go to style  and disable signal labels and quantity and now it looks a bit more clean and as you can see here
 it makes exactly the profit that i showed you in the beginning of the video with exactly the  numbers and it’s outperforming bitcoin okay obviously makes sense  okay guys so this is the strategy you can now fully automate it with signum i will show you  in a couple of minutes the next thing you need to understand is what kind of settings does this  strategy have let’s go to input and on the input this is very helpful it gives you a chance to  decide when the strategy starts to trade and also when it ends right so 2060 it’s
 some time in the future that’s all good but it starts reading 2018 0101 because that’s the time  when i always start testing my strategies it’s the full bear market and i think testing the strategy  while it goes down is making it very hard for the strategy which is good so if the strategy can  still produce good  numbers for me that means a lot okay the other settings that you have here are for the one day  chart so those are the best settings i think for any asset any crypto asset for the one day chart
 so you can keep it like that as long as you are on the one day chart if you are moving to the four  hour and i will show you later then you need different settings okay so this is  the strategy it’s quite simple let’s look at a couple of trades here okay so how does it work  well it’s quite simple whenever the price goes above the upper line right then you can see it  triggers a trade and when it goes below the upper line it closes the trade okay sometimes it has  fake outs right where it goes up and down again but that’s okay because
 this is also see avoiding drawdown so that’s okay right and so when you have a strong trend to the  upside then this makes a lot of sense and it makes good money right when you have a sideways Market  you can see it has a lot of these fake trades but again it’s not a lot of money there so that’s fine  but you keep in mind that this is gonna happen and it’s not always gonna make money with every single trade obviously not and right now  guys it’s in a trade because well bitcoin seems to be quite bullish okay so this is how it works it
 does exactly the same thing from 2018 and until now it makes this profit okay and with this drawdown  and so on okay so those are the numbers. This is how  it works. Okay. Speaking of numbers, we also have to look at the settings of the strategy. And if  you watched any of my videos, especially the last one, then you know how important this is.
 So let’s  go to the properties and here we have to make sure to use percentage. We do that. We have a commission  of 0.1%. We do that. We have slippage of three and we have none of these other check boxes because  they might be cheating okay might be repainting and looking ahead and all this stuff so those are  the settings that we’re gonna go with i’m using 100 of equity simply because it makes it easier  to test the strategy in real life you can use less but actually you don’t really need it to be here  in this setting because you can just put less money on the account that you’re trading on and that’s how you decide how much money you give the strategy i will show you
 that actually right now because i want to show you how to take this strategy and how to automate it  the first thing you need is a signum account guys because you need to have it connected to  trading view and signum then connected to your exchange so that the trades can be executed so  signum is very nice because it has a very easy way to automate.
 I will show you now and you will be quite blown away in my opinion.  And Signum has all the features that you need to keep track of your automation,  make everything super easy.  I’m not going to go into the details.  You will see.  Okay, so click on sign up now, create an account.  And I see you on the other side of that account.
 It’s very easy to do  all right once you have an account it will look something like this it will ask you to create a  bot so click on that button connect the exchange that you want to use and it will guide you through  the whole process it’s very very easy so i will use by bit in this example i’m already connected  i have to create an api key put it here. Everything is fully explained.
 You have to first create a sub account  because every bot has to be on its own sub account.  If you want to know why, watch this video.  It’s absolutely best practice  and you must learn this stuff.  It’s very easy to do.  So you create a sub account,  just two screenshots to do that, very simple.  Then for that sub account, you create an API key, right?  You create that key, you paste it here on the top, right?  And then you click validate.
 Then you give your bot a title you choose a trading pair in my case it will be  bitcoin usdt right and you put funds on the account right you have to move funds from your  main account into the sub account that’s exactly when you decide how much money right you want to  give that trading bot which is ultra easy to manage as well  on the long run okay this setup is the best setup for automation ever I already have a bot as you  can see here it is paused so let’s activate this bot here and now I have it on the top like this  once you have created your bot you will see the same thing so create a bot with Bybit for example
 give it a good name choose btcusdt and let’s click on the bot to get into the settings.  So this is what I can see here.  I can see the API key that I have created for this sub account and this bot, meaning that if I want to find the sub account later on, I can use this key to find exactly the one that I’ve connected to this.
 And then you can see that Signum is fetching all of the assets  that are on this sub account that is connected with this API key. That is very nice because it  shows you which assets you can trade with, right? So I have USDT, so obviously I can have Bitcoin  USDT, right? It makes sense.
 If you don’t see any assets there, then often the reason is that you  didn’t put it on the trading account. It might be the funding account okay it has to be on the unified trading or sometimes it’s called only trading account or sometimes like in binance  it’s called spot account okay so that’s where the money has to be right so if you don’t see the  money here then go to your exchange make sure you send the money to the right place and remember  that we show you in signum how to do that right when you create a bot you click on the exchange  that you’re working with and then here it says fund account and for every single exchange we have a tutorial on how to do
 that guys okay so it’s very simple right so let’s go back to our bot to understand what to do next  so now if you want to automate this okay because now you have a bot you have connected it to your  exchange now the only thing you have to do is to copy this copy this and copy this and that’s it  okay so let me show you  exactly step by step how to do it so go to trading view choose your time frame this one is the one  day bitcoin chart everything because everything has to be perfect before you do the automation
 because when you create this alert you have to click on this button it will remember all of these  settings so you have to put the settings to be perfect right for your automation so do i want this performance yes do i have all the settings proper yes that’s what i want great  now let’s click on this button to create an automation to connect it to signum so it’s very  easy now we have to just copy this right copy the title put it here then go back to signum copy all  of this just copy paste right it’s going to be 100 in and out because it says here order size will be 100 and the action will be determined by the strategy itself whenever
 it’s executed so it can be buying or selling right so copy the whole thing and just put it here  instead of what is there already just that that’s it and now go to notifications and make sure to  turn on the webhook url and here you have to put this URL here  copy this right and put it here okay so basically you’re done but I want to explain to you very  quickly the expiration date make sure to put one in the future okay don’t have it expire in like  one or two days or something okay so click create and that’s it guys. You have now fully automated this trading strategy.
 It’s so easy to automate that it might not even look like you have done a big thing now,  but it’s actually massive because check it out.  If you click here on the alert button, then you can see all of your alerts.  And this is the one that you have created.  Now those curly bracket things, those are placeholders.
 So whenever the strategy right this  strategy here has a buy or a sell signal and by the way if you didn’t know then the blue arrows  they are buy signals and the pink arrows they are actual cell signals and this is what trading views  also tracking here in the list of trades and this is how it calculates the backtest and everything right now the alert will  get filled in by the strategy and all these placeholders right like the strategy order action  will be given by the strategy so if the strategy is buying then it will say buy right all these
 brackets are removed and instead it puts all the placeholders how they should be so all of these  will be replaced by the strategy’s actions and so you have to know another thing that if there is already a buy signal that has been triggered  already and you start now then you’re not going to get the historic signals that would be horrific  you know that would be pretty bad so you want only the future signals right so you have created this  alert today right at 1402 and stuff so every alert from that point in time, or you can also say every
 trading signal from that point in time will be sent to Signum, right? And then Signum will send  it to your connected sub account to actually trade for you, right? So remember this graphic here.  So the alert comes, right, with a buy signal, let’s say, and then Signum will do the right  thing to figure out what is 100%, right much money you have there and then send a trade  a market order to buy and the market order to sell right whenever there is a sell signal okay so you  will have the future signals right so you will follow this strategy exactly the way that it’s
 executing here on your chart now guys i went to the one minute chart of course it’s fully  unprofitable to do that but i want to show you that i’ve created an alert for  the one minute chart and you see here it triggered an alert for buying let’s see actually what it  triggered here you can see it triggered a buy action and all the placeholders have been replaced  and if i go here to signum all the way down and i do refresh log i can see that today exactly when  i’m recording the video, the bot  has sent a signal, Signum has identified it, has performed successfully an order on Bybit,
 and now I have Bitcoin, right? Now let’s scroll up and reload this page because now you see Signum  is fetching the newest information about my assets and you see my USDT is gone and now I have some  Bitcoin. Problem is it’s very small amount of  bitcoin so here on bybit this is my demo account i have 49 but those 49 are in bitcoin right you  can see i don’t have almost any usdt anymore i bought for 100 and now i have bitcoin right when  the next signal comes for selling right it will just sell all the bitcoin and put it back into
 usdt right and why is doing that is because it has the trading pair bitcoin usdt right so we go  from bitcoin to usdt and then from usdt to bitcoin back and forth back and forth right based on the  trading signals from the strategy now on the one day chart if you do exactly that it makes a lot of money right on  the one minute that was just a demo it doesn’t make money right you can also see that in the  backtest so i would never ever automate this because i want to make money this is just for  testing purposes but let me show you that you can actually make money with the strategy on the four
 hour chart right on the long term if you know the right settings okay guys now the strategy on the four hour chart right on the long term  if you know the right settings okay guys now i’m on the four hour chart but to remind you right if  i click on the daily these are the performance numbers okay not changing any settings going to  the four hour you can see it is also profitable guys okay yes it has a higher drawdown of 44  guys okay yes it has a higher drawdown of 44 but it still makes 956 percent net profit guys okay the settings are all the same from 2018 and so on of course listen if i can choose i will go on the
 one day because it makes way more money right with less risk with less drawdown but if you want to  have a profitable setup of this strategy on the four hour then let me show you what you need to change  okay guys jumping into the future those are the settings you need to change you have to change  the source to high low divided by two polls four sampling period 144 and filter true range  multiplier two and then you get these numbers on the four hour chart guys okay thousand five hundred percent profit on
 bitcoin quite good since 2018 right and the drawdown is even lower that is quite fascinating  so now if you want to automate this right then simply click on the add alert button and do  exactly what i showed you before copy all the things here right one two and then three click  create and that’s it you have an alert for this time frame you see here bitcoin  four hour with this strategy with these settings you see even shows the settings right you see  44 to hl2 and so on right all there just make sure the expiration date does not expire obviously and
 if you don’t have a super expensive trading view plan this expiration date will expire in two  months maximum they don’t allow more than two months okay so you have to set an  alarm in your calendar to come and update your trading alerts okay once every two months you can  do it okay it’s not a lot of work so guys this is how you can set this strategy to work on the  four hour this is how you can automate any time frame you want you can have as many alerts as you  want all right i mean there is a limit in trading view but the limit is quite high so i’m not sure you’re gonna hit it at all and this is how you can make money on the short term
 but also on the long term if you ask me i’m going for the long term because there is less noise in  the chat i’m less kicked out by you know high frequency traders and stuff like that over the  years that has worked better for me but you can do whatever you think makes sense for you here in  this video i hope i changed your life i hope i’ve given you a great strategy with great settings great  automation so let me know down in the comments if you like this video and also let me know what type  of other content you like come to our freaking telegram and get access to the strategy only
 thing you need to do is to create an account on signum okay and you need to give us your trading  view username which is this one here on the top.  This one is mine, Michael Ionida.  I need yours, right?  So I can add you to the list of people  who has access to the strategy.  For me, it looks like this, right?  Access management, add new user.
 I have to add you here, right?  So that’s why I need your TradingView username.  So make sure to go down below  and click on the link to join our Telegram.  And I see you over there.  And if you’re  still watching and wondering does michael have some solution for bigger portfolios like above  10k or more does michael have education or better strategies risk management templates and yes of  course because i have an auto trading masterclass this is the highest quality offering I have where I give my strategies to
 members and I give all of my education and my templates for creating portfolios for tracking  portfolios position sizing what to do in the bear market explaining all the strategies it’s basically  amazing but it is limited to only people that it makes sense for that’s why you have to click on  apply for access and we’re going to have a call and if it makes sense for. That’s why you have to click on Apply for Access and we’re gonna have a call.
 And if it makes sense for you,  then you might be able to join.  It is a very high quality offering.  So I make sure that I let people in only when they are nice  and they understand the process that we’re running  because it doesn’t make sense to force a process  on somebody that wants to do other things, right?